Risks and Considerations
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index levels are based on the values of notional assets and liabilities
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index only calculates the exposure to a dynamic, hypothetical portfolio that tracks the excess returns of the underlying components and is purely notional. There is no actual portfolio of assets to which any person makes any investment or has any ownership interest.
No recommendation
BNP Paribas makes no recommendation as to the suitability for investment of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index or any products or strategies based partly or wholly on Nasdaq Night Owl Index. You should reach a decision after careful consideration with your advisors.
Strategies relying on the levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index may not be successful
There is a risk that the rules-based methodology of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index does not meet its stated objectives, including meeting its annualized target volatility of 15%, resulting in underperformance of the components that comprise the index.
Correlation of performances among the underlying components may reduce the levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index
Performances among the underlying components may become highly correlated from time to time. High correlation during periods of negative returns among underlying components representing any one sector or asset type that have a substantial weighting in the Nasdaq Night Owl Index could have a material adverse effect on the levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index, which could in turn negatively affect the performance any product or strategy based partly or wholly on the levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index.
Legal and regulatory regimes may affect the Nasdaq Night Owl Index, its components or its sub-components
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index and its components (and sub-components thereof) are subject to legal and regulatory regimes in various regions and, in some cases, in other countries that may change in ways that could negatively affect the Nasdaq Night Owl Index or its components (or sub-components thereof). Changes to the applicable legal or regulatory regimes may have a negative impact on the Nasdaq Night Owl Index level. The components (or sub-components thereof) of the index that are traded on one or more public exchanges are subject to the rules of the relevant exchange.
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index has limited historical information
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index is a new strategy, launched on 20th September 2024. The performance shown before that date is hypothetical past performance, based on hypothetical back-tested information. This brochure also contains certain performance data based on back-testing, i.e., calculations of the hypothetical levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index as if it had actually existed during a defined period of time, and may in certain circumstances contain simulated levels information where the Nasdaq Night Owl Index has recently been established or issued. Further, you must note that such analysis is based on a number of working assumptions that may not be capable of duplication in actual trading terms. Unlike actual performance records, hypothetical or simulated performances, returns or scenarios may not necessarily reflect certain market factors such as liquidity constraints, fees and transaction costs and must be considered as illustrative only. Actual historical or back-tested past performance does not constitute an indication of future results. The actual performance of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index may bear little relation to its hypothetical historical results.
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index has limited public information
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index is a custom index developed by BNP Paribas, the Index Sponsor. There is limited information relating to the Nasdaq Night Owl Index that is publicly available. In addition, publicly available information on the Nasdaq Night Owl Index, its methodology and its components is limited.
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index’s daily volatility control mechanism may result in a lower index level and the actual volatility of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index may not equal its target volatility
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index’s daily volatility control allows the Nasdaq Night Owl Index to dynamically adjust the value of the hypothetical exposure to the portfolio the index is based on and any cash component, depending on the volatility environment. However, the risk control overlay might limit overall levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index in rising equity markets and may provide imperfect, limited protection in falling equity markets, particularly against sudden, large equity losses. No assurance can be given that the Nasdaq Night Owl Index methodology will achieve its target volatility goals or that products or strategies based partly or wholly on the levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index will outperform any alternative investment.
The closing level of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index is net of BNP Paribas’ replication and rebalancing costs
The Closing Level of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index is net of BNP Paribas’ replication and rebalancing costs associated with the index. As a result of these costs, the value of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index could trail the value of a hypothetical identical portfolio from which no such amount is deducted.
BNP Paribas Financial Markets, an affiliate of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index Sponsor, BNP Paribas, is the index’s calculation agent who is responsible for calculating the levels of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index
The policies and calculations for which the calculation agent is responsible could have an impact, positive or negative, on the level of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index. BNP Paribas and its affiliates are under no obligation to consider your interest as an investor in a product linked to the Nasdaq Night Owl Index.
Portions of the BNP Paribas Nasdaq Night Owl Index may be effectively uninvested and earn no return
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index, on each day on which it is calculated, adjusts its exposure to its components in an attempt to maintain an annualized volatility of 15%. If the aggregate weight of the components is less than 100%, the Nasdaq Night Owl Index will allocate exposure to a hypothetical cash position. As a result, the Nasdaq Night Owl Index may underperform a similar index that provides 100% exposure to its components. The hypothetical cash position is an uninvested position that does not earn interest or any other return.
The price, level or value of the components used in the Nasdaq Night Owl Index may differ from other publicly available prices
The levels of the components that are Treasury Futures Indices (the “BNPP Component Indices”) are intended to reflect the performance of the relevant futures contracts on a daily volume-weighted average price, subject to a set of trade filters selected by the Index Sponsor to exclude trades with certain codes provided by the relevant exchange that indicate non-standard trades. Such levels are calculated by the Index Calculation Agent or an affiliate thereof and are not publicly available and may not reflect all trades reported by the relevant futures exchange. The daily closing price or any other price of the underlying futures contract may vary from the volume-weighted average price reflected by the level of the applicable BNPP Component Index.
Furthermore, a BNPP Component Index may be subject to a disruption due to the unavailability of a volume-weighted average price despite regular trading of the underlying futures contract and the availability of a closing price for such contract.
The Nasdaq Night Owl Index‘s target volatility feature may reduce its appreciation potential
Under normal circumstances, equity futures may exhibit significantly higher volatility than the target volatility of 15%. Accordingly, the “volatility control” mechanism of the Nasdaq Night Owl Index may have the effect of skewing allocations among components in the Nasdaq Night Owl Index toward components that provide exposure to cash (which has zero volatility). Any allocation to cash will earn no return at all.
Other Key Risks:
- The Nasdaq Night Owl Index involves daily rebalancing that is applied to the components. Changes in the value of the components may offset each other.
- The Nasdaq Night Owl Indexis subject to risks associated with non-U.S. markets.
- Certain components are based on futures contracts are and may be subject to currency exchange risk. The Nasdaq Night Owl Index contains a currency conversion mechanism that seeks to reduce losses due to currency exchange risk. It can also reduce or eliminate gains from currency exchange risk.